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Pre-open Scenarios

Again, we saw a big move down ON, so again, we were presented with the same question: would the selling continue or would we see a gigantic bear squeeze – probably with some lower prices first just to entice more shorts into the market.

The purple box had been broken ON so the next KL was 11009 –
if this breaks then we have a new low for the year. 
The chart on the left is the H4 chart showing the impulse move. On the H1 chart on the right, a move through the upper orange line would have indicated strength but only for gap filling until out of the Neutral Zone (lilac rectangle). On the downside, the pink TL is the first line of defence and the lower orange line breach would mean a break to new lows. 

What the market looked like at the end of the day

Carnage. And all the papers and news sites are full of headlines about ‘billions wiped off stock markets’ so tomorrow could be a long.

the Lower TL formed by the correction ON action g

How effective was my Neutral Zone? I made profitable trades on both sides within the zone and once it broke and then compressed up against the level, the market dropped 200 pts.
How precise were my levels?  RES 1 -9pts provided resistance during the futures session. SUP 1  hit and then bounced to retest the TL; the market went straight through SUP 2 but then compressed against it and SUP 3 was 8pts away from the close level but the market also powered straight through it during the session.

Strategy for today’s PA

What was today’s PA? Was it ranging or was it trending? When and how did I know which one it wasWhat I did0
9:03 Buy x 88 @ 11058 | Cash open Spike | P&L = -1R
09:09 Buy x 80 @ 11044 | 3Min Bolli | P&L = -1R
09:10 Sell x 90 @ 11029 | M1 TL Break | P&L = 0R
09:13 Buy x 81 @ 11013 | 3Min Bolli | P&L = +0.3R
09:24 Sell x 87 @ 11019 | M1 TL Break by hand| P&L = +0.8R
09:38 Sell x 96 @ 11028 | 169 fade | P&L = +1.7R
09:48 Sell x 49 @ ??? | Igloo | P&L = 1.9R

TOTAL = 3.1R

Today’s most gorgeous setup

The short of the TL that supported the ON corrective move – this captured the vast majority of the day’s action with a 10pt SL.

For reference: 3 month cash chart at COB yesterday

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